Miscellaneous Earnings Call Notes 2.18.16

Hormel Foods’ (HRL) CEO Jeff Ettinger on Q1 2016 Results

Jeff Ettinger

One of our secrets is being located in a small town in Minnesota

“One last aspect of the secret behind Hormel Foods that I’d like to share with you really relates to our team, where we are — I mentioned to you we’re in a small town in Minnesota; we’re little bit of a throwback in that regard. When someone joins our organization, they tend to join it for a life and indeed our average tenure of our officer team at Hormel Foods is 26 years, that’s not 26 years of industry experience, that’s 26 years of experience at Hormel, which I think does make it somewhat unique in the industry.”


Southern Copper’s (SCCO) Q4 2015 Results

Raul Jacob — CFO

China consumers 46% of the world’s copper

“As you know, China is the world’s major copper consumer with about 46% of world consumption. We believe China’s demand for copper will increase about 3.5% in 2016 driven by the partial recovery of the Chinese housing market and the national grid investment program.”

Current prices not high enough to support supply growth

” current copper prices are not sufficient to promote the necessary supply growth to meet future market needs. Thus, we believe current market circumstances are improving the strong long-term fundamentals of our industry.”


Community Health Systems (CYH) Wayne T. Smith

Volumes lower because of lower flu

“Our volumes, including emergency room visits, were lower than expected in the quarter as compared to a year ago, mainly attributable to the lack of flu and respiratory illness which we historically see during this period. On a same-store basis, if you factor out the flu-related volume decline, we would have had reported slightly positive growth in adjusted admissions.”

Unable to complete proposed spinoff because of debt markets

“The decision to delay the spin, as we have previously stated, is the sudden disruption in the debt markets. This is a market-driven decision. We understand that the debt markets have not been like this since 2008. We expect to complete the spin once market conditions are favorable.”


Potbelly (PBPB) Q4 2015 Results Michael W. Coyne – Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President

Wages generate inflationary headwinds

“Similar to last year, we are expecting inflationary headwinds in 2016, primarily as it relates to our labor costs, which we expect to be more impactful this year due to the continuing impact of minimum wage increases that were taken in 2015, as well as expected wage increases this year.”


Freddie Mac’s (FMCC) CEO Don Layton on Q4 2015 Results

The concept of capital in our conservatorship is very unusual

“I’d also wish to remind everyone that the concept of capital, equity primarily, in our conservatorship is very unusual. The many firms and industries which deal with us, look not to our small permitted capital buffer but to the unused portion of the purchase agreement as the source of the capital stream behind our liabilities and thus us appropriately as a very strong credit. That unused PSPA amount has been a very large number for some time specifically $140.5 billion.””


The Priceline Group (PCLN) Daniel J. Finnegan – Chief Financial Officer

Global airfares were down by 15% over the last several months

“In addition, global airfares were down by about 15% over the last several months, according to KAYAK flight search data, which significantly impacts Priceline.com’s gross bookings growth but has no impact on gross profit growth.”


Jack in the Box (JACK) Leonard A. Comma on Q1 2016 Results

Hurt by stressing quality over value and also felt competitive effects from MCD

“the major takeaway is that we chose to focus on this effort and not to promote value deals to the same degree as quarter one last year. Although we stand behind our decision to invest in long-term quality improvements, we paid the price in the quarter as we struggled to roll over last year’s two for $3.50 breakfast croissant promotion. Additionally, we experienced the effects of both the heightened competitive focus on value and the impact of McDonald’s all-day breakfast, primarily between the hours of 10:30 a.m. to noon.”


PG&E (PCG) Anthony F. Earley Jr. on Q4 2015 Results

60% of energy was carbon free

” In 2015, nearly 30% of PG&E’s electric deliveries came from qualifying renewable resources, and even more meaningfully nearly 60% of the energy that we delivered was carbon free.”

CPUC authorizing ROE of 10%

“you’ll see that we continue to assume a CPUC authorized equity ratio of 52%, and a return on equity of 10.4%, which we now have certainty on through 2017.”

Southern Copper 2Q15 Earnings Call Notes

Maintain our confidence in copper

“we maintain our long-term confidence in the positive fundamentals of this market. Looking at demand, we’re expecting worldwide copper demand growth of about 3% for the year. That is new demand for refined copper of approximately 700,000 tons. The main drivers are a 4% demand growth in China, a continuation of demand recovery from export European industries and a stable U.S. copper demand in line with the American DVP increment.”

Structural factors will continue to affect supply

“On the supply side, as we have expressed in the past, we believe that several structural factors will continue to affect supply from new projects and existing operations as well as the scrap production. Among these factors, we want to emphasize delays in project startups, technical problems, labor unrest, excess government taxation and other difficulties.”

Current prices are not sufficient to promote supply growth

“We also want to emphasize that copper prices at current levels are not sufficient to promote the necessary future supply growth, thereby improving the strong long-term fundamentals of our industry.”

We don’t forecast copper prices, but we are expecting more activity on the demand side and weak supply trends

“we don’t do a forecast on copper prices. Even though we’re in the business of controlling copper cost, not in the business of forecasting copper prices. Having said that, we’re expecting the second half of the year, a combination of more activity on the demand side, particularly on the Chinese demand and this trend on supply underperformance to be hold or even deepen a little bit due to the current price environment.”

We think the headwinds to speculative demand have been absorbed

“all the macroeconomic headwinds have been — have affected the speculative segment of the demand and that has been — most of the impact has already been absorbed. So we believe that that portion of the demand will not be a negative matter in this second half of 2015.”