2006 vs. 2012 Updated

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So far this year I’ve had a couple of posts comparing 2012 to 2006.  In January, I mentioned that 2009-2011 had unfolded in a very similar pattern to 2003-2005.  Then again in April I mentioned that if this relationship were … Continued

Intrade Obama Contract Volume

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Intrade has become a popular source as a prediction engine for setting the odds of a future event happening. The total volume traded in the site’s most popular contract (the Obama-chances-of-being-reelected contract) is still pretty minimal though.  Since December of … Continued

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