2006 vs. 2012 Updated

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So far this year I’ve had a couple of posts comparing 2012 to 2006.  In January, I mentioned that 2009-2011 had unfolded in a very similar pattern to 2003-2005.  Then again in April I mentioned that if this relationship were … Continued

Intrade Obama Contract Volume

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Intrade has become a popular source as a prediction engine for setting the odds of a future event happening. The total volume traded in the site’s most popular contract (the Obama-chances-of-being-reelected contract) is still pretty minimal though.  Since December of … Continued

Brent-WTI Spread

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Commodities have taken a beating for the last couple months, which has accelerated since the start of May.  Oil, quoted as WTI, has cratered from a high of $107 per barrel to a low of just under $92 as of … Continued

Greek Deposit Losses

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US equity markets were rattled yesterday when a report came out that Greek banks had lost 700m euros worth of deposits on Monday.  It’s a large sum in a single day, but it’s mostly a continuation of a process that … Continued

Housing Starts

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Housing starts were reported this morning at 717k for April on an annualized basis.  It’s still an extremely low level, but for the first time in a long time, it looks like starts could be breaking out of the low … Continued

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